Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 15.433708 17.601810 19.925587 22.596831 25.577876 28.797419 32.532701
2024-10-06 13.258152 16.375603 19.948921 24.328867 29.532617 35.496391 42.826157
2024-10-13 11.001513 14.638865 19.075103 24.839607 32.082687 40.828708 52.129119
2024-10-20 8.822399 12.620489 17.537954 24.291177 33.231621 44.558395 59.872910
2024-10-27 7.056286 10.829313 16.003315 23.491334 33.900314 47.684532 67.108390
2024-11-03 6.257263 10.223894 15.946522 24.615510 37.182394 54.461940 79.672321
2024-11-10 5.899098 10.193421 16.673636 26.890633 42.249157 64.058558 96.830863
2024-11-17 5.351736 9.776130 16.754998 28.195353 46.005742 72.087470 112.391673
2024-11-24 4.637634 8.967626 16.111785 28.290480 47.921983 77.555797 124.619000
2024-12-01 3.905011 8.001659 15.075099 27.614199 48.534923 81.068045 134.129831
2024-12-08 3.392544 7.340842 14.453149 27.524279 50.029632 85.982420 146.042758
2024-12-15 3.023770 6.886291 14.124162 27.876177 52.244776 92.137258 160.233334
2024-12-22 2.640034 6.351300 13.603858 27.875393 53.935637 97.691844 174.062962
2024-12-29 2.485415 6.265231 13.918509 29.427301 58.462273 108.242648 196.727905
2025-01-05 2.207115 5.861897 13.559092 29.668755 60.661092 115.014951 213.549318
2025-01-12 1.863365 5.243338 12.676017 28.787803 60.707367 118.061433 224.234674
2025-01-19 1.556264 4.647169 11.749936 27.701317 60.243857 120.141415 233.337439
2025-01-26 1.459910 4.559180 11.919520 28.889006 64.264097 130.531182 257.661164
2025-02-02 1.461344 4.728129 12.689486 31.424402 71.139260 146.553546 292.914328
2025-02-09 1.387504 4.678928 12.944970 32.862335 75.903606 158.913930 322.153045
2025-02-16 1.240850 4.395086 12.602071 32.931824 77.857513 166.073056 342.200945
2025-02-23 1.067779 3.994627 11.913467 32.132575 77.912897 169.569461 355.580562
2025-03-02 0.949085 3.732824 11.536442 32.012057 79.391456 175.901612 374.614700